· 2007 event
· 2006 event
· 2005 event
· 2004 event
· 2003 event
· 2002 event
· 2001 event
· 2000 event

WWC has authoritatively predicted the wireless and mobile technologies and business since 1998. In 2000, WWC predicted at WWC-3G'2000 in San Francisco that China would not issue 3G license before 2007. In 2001, WWC predicted that Sprint's MMDS business would be totally failed. In 2002, WWC predicted that the mobile communications would be targeted for Open Wireless Architecture (OWA). In 2003, WWC predicted that IMS would not be successful for mobile cellular networks. In 2004, WWC predicted that 3G would be a transitional solution only, and 4G may come much earlier than expected. In 2005, WWC predicted that Mobile TV (TV in mobile phone) did not make sense from the business point of view and would die very soon. In 2006, WWC predicted that the upcoming iPhone price was too high, and need big price cut. In 2007, WWC predicted that China long-term mobile communications would follow TD-SCDMA to TD-OFDMA to TD-OWA.

2008 Predictions in Wireless & Mobile

1. Openness in system architecture and service offering will dominate the industry

2. Google's Open Handset Alliance (OHA) will repeat the lessons of WAP Forum, OMA, NGMN, MWIF which will fail

3. While WiMax is a good technology, but Sprint's poor management will repeat the lessons of MMDS, LMDS which will make WiMax-Xohm fail again

4. iPhone's price is still too high, and will be cut again in 2008

5. iPhone needs new and open system architecture to stay competitive in the industry

6. Mobile TV (for mobile handhold device) will continue to step into the grave and die

7. 4G starts to replace 3G at least in marketing and PR. The commercial 3G is actually not the 3G anymore

8. China will never issue 3G license. The new license is for TD-SCDMA/OFDMA/OWA long-term evolution

9. 700MHz spectrum is a political issue only, not a business issue. Basically 700Mhz is not so important for future mobile multimedia services (4G mobile services), and Google does not care much about that!

10. Mobile phone architecture will continue to shift from the traditional transmission-specific radio system to the interface-based open wireless architecture (OWA) technology

In WWC'2008 on May 14-16, 2008, the participants will vote to select one of the above predictions as the 2008 Prediction of WWC. We will publish the result after the conference.

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