Technology
and Business Predictions in Wireless & Mobile
Industry for year 2011-2020, by World Wireless Institute |
|
TECHNOLOGY SECTOR |
Prediction
1
|
Based on LU's LAW, no single Radio
Transmission Technology (RTT) can do both Broadband
High-speed and Seamless Mobility in a commercial
environment. Therefore, LTE will follow the fate of
WiMAX, and will not be successful as expected.
|
Prediction
2 |
The mobile handset device is evolving
from a traditional transmission-specific radio system to
the future interface-based system. This future mobile
phone will be relying on Open Wireless Architecture (OWA)
platform for complete openness and simplicity.
Therefore, OWA mobile device will boom up worldwide. |
Prediction
3 |
The future mobile device will have much simple system
architecture and more transmission bandwidth with open
wireless architecture. Most signal processing and
application processing of the mobile terminal will be
done in the shared Mobile Cloud. Therefore, Mobile Cloud
infrastructure will revolute the traditional mobile
service delivery mechanism. |
Prediction
4 |
Open Wireless Architecture technology will converge the
terrestrial mobile communications with the airborne
communications to deliver the advanced Air-Land
Ubiquitous Mobile networks in an ad-hoc or mesh manner
between aircrafts and/or airports. Therefore, passengers
can make mobile phone calls seamlessly across the land,
air and in-between. |
Prediction
5 |
Mobile SIM card technology will evolve from the
traditional user billing information to the future open
wireless RTT (radio transmission technology) capability.
Therefore, in the future, when users need to change
wireless standards, they can just change SIM card
instead of terminal device. |
Prediction
6 |
Mobile Cyber-Security technology will place secured DNAs
not only in the application layer and service content
layer, but also in the underlying wireless MAC and PHY
layers in a cost-effective and spectrum-efficient way.
Therefore, users' mobile device will be more secured and
more safe to use. |
|
BUSINESS SECTOR |
Prediction
7 |
All Single RTT system vendors or operators will come to
end in business. For example, Clearwire will close its
business if limited to WiMax only. Qualcomm will do more
on non-CDMA business. |
Prediction 8 |
Apple Computer will spin-off its mobile business unit to
Apple Mobile, covering wireless baseband, RF and
applications. |
Prediction 9 |
Intel will re-sell its
wireless baseband business even after acquiring
Infineon's baseband which does not help much. |
Prediction 10 |
Cisco Mobile, etc will
create the world's largest Non-Cellular mobile networks
with IP PDM protocols and OWA wireless access
technologies. This will challenge the traditional
circuit-switched cellular topology and move
next-generation mobile
networks to the new era of development. |
Prediction 11 |
Oracle Communications
will merge with Nokia to create the world's largest
mobile service delivery platform for the mobile users. |